8 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1525
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1597
FormWLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H48-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-38)