9 Jul · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zahradka
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1425
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Zahradka goes over total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H9-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.