9 Jul · 11:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1510
FormWLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1648
FormWWWWL
39%
61%
🌟Kocab covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+138
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)