9 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1647
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brozek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1585
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Kulisek stays under total as underdog 64% (28)
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H87-78
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (87-78)