9 Jul · 14:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1585
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kulisek
VJ
🇨🇿Vojtech Jirout
ELO 1569
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.