9 Jul · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1517
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1612
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)