9 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1563
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Galus
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1613
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Galus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H46-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.