9 Jul · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1503
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Slavik
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1535
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H0-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.