9 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1640
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gola
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1549
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H111-71
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (111-71)