9 Jul · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1534
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vosyka
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1587
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.