9 Jul · 21:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1573
FormWLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Dohnal
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1410
FormWLLLL
63%
37%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (23)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+163
H2H18-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-5)