9 Jul · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1556
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gembala
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1632
FormWLLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)