9 Jul · 18:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Juhasz
ELO 1528
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Juhasz
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1495
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Cibik covers set handicap as underdog 70% (23)
Fair odds · Juhasz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.