9 Jul · 21:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1315
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1501
FormWWLWW
35%
65%
🌟Kolbusovsky covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+186
H2H36-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-13)