9 Jul · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1573
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dohnal
MH
🇨🇿Marek Hluchy
ELO 1515
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (23)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)