9 Jul · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1513
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1595
FormLLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H22-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-17)