9 Jul · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1549
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1523
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Jr goes over total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.