9 Jul · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1672
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Duch
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1536
FormWLWWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+136
H2H54-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-35)