9 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1508
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gola
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1486
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H61-59
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.