09 Jul · 19:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1565
3-1Final setsFitl won
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1451
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Fitl at 58%. The actual result was Radek Fitl 3-1 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Radek Fitl favoured — closing 1.7
Set handicap
Radek Fitl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Radek Fitl −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Radek Fitl is favoured to win, below means David Hons.
▲ Radek Fitlpre 62% → final 91%
David Hons ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsFitl recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games