10 Jul · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1726
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Benak
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1623
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Benak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~71 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H11-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)