10 Jul · 13:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1523
FormLWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Benak
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1726
FormLWWWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Benak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~71 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+203
H2H19-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+203)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-17)