10 Jul · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1556
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vodal
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1489
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)