10 Jul · 14:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1623
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kocab
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1583
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Kocab stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.