10 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1489
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Muller
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1498
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Muller
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H45-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.