10 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1498
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Knazik
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1489
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Knazik goes over total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H32-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.