10 Jul · 09:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1457
FormWLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Varecka
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1585
FormWLWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)