10 Jul · 13:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1583
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Benak
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1726
FormLWWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Benak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~70 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+143
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)