10 Jul · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1498
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1556
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Knazik🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H35-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)