10 Jul · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1498
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Moravec
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1558
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Mrowetz stays under total as underdog 62% (29)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)