10 Jul · 17:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1444
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Filipek
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1450
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Filipek goes over total as favourite 62% (37)
Fair odds · Filipek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H13-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.