10 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BJ
🇨🇿Bartolomej Jonas
ELO 1388
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1462
FormWWLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)