10 Jul · 18:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1538
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Langer
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1534
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Langer rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (53)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H20-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.