10 Jul · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1538
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1570
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Kulisek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (60)
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H9-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.