10 Jul · 20:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1554
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chaloupka
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1553
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.