10 Jul · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1438
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1462
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.