10 Jul · 19:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1502
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gola
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1511
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 45% · 2.20· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H34-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.