11 Jul · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Matej Beran
ELO 1540
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Beran
PR
🇨🇿Pavel Rissky
ELO 1513
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Beran rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Beran
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.