11 Jul · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1439
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1517
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)