11 Jul · 10:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1527
3-1Final setsLanger won
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1530
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Sulc at 51%. The actual result was Ales Langer 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Langer favoured — closing 1.8
Total 75.5
74 points played
Set handicap
Langer −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Langer −2.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ales Langer is favoured to win, below means Martin Sulc.
▲ Ales Langerpre 53% → final 99%
Martin Sulc ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts53 points · 3 games