11 Jul · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1514
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sindler
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1462
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (33)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.