11 Jul · 20:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1478
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skvor
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1433
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Chlad covers set handicap as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.