11 Jul · 22:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1433
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jokiel
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1471
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Chlad covers set handicap as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H4-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.