11 Jul · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1439
FormLWLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Tichy
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1679
FormLWWWL
31%
69%
🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 70% (86)
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~80 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+240
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+240)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)