11 Jul · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1409
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1470
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
🌟Vaclahovsky covers set handicap as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)