11 Jul · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1470
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jemelka
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1433
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Chlad covers set handicap as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.