11 Jul · 17:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1554
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1599
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.