11 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1471
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mastera
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1544
FormWWLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Mastera
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)