11 Jul · 19:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1547
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Buklat
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1517
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Buklat
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H34-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.