11 Jul · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1468
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Buklat
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1535
FormLLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Buklat
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)